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	<title>Below The Fold &#187; Jon Huntsman</title>
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		<title>Huntsman&#8217;s Future</title>
		<link>http://www.below-the-fold.com/2009/05/huntsmans-future/</link>
		<comments>http://www.below-the-fold.com/2009/05/huntsmans-future/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 May 2009 18:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brien</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2012 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jon Huntsman]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.below-the-fold.com/?p=2974</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[by Brien Jackson At Foreign Policy&#8217;s frankly disappointing &#8220;shadow&#8221; blog, Christian Brose offers up an analysis of Jon Hunstman&#8217;s move out of the GOP Presidential candidates field and into the Obama administration that is both reasonable, and yet highly absurd at the same time: He probably assumes that the GOP will spend the next few [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>by Brien Jackson</em></p>
<p>At <em>Foreign Policy&#8217;s </em>frankly disappointing &#8220;shadow&#8221; blog, Christian Brose <a href="http://shadow.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2009/05/18/the_gops_future_on_the_long_boat_to_china">offers up an analysis</a> of Jon Hunstman&#8217;s move out of the GOP Presidential candidates field and into the Obama administration that is both reasonable, and yet highly absurd at the same time:</p>
<blockquote><p>He probably assumes that the GOP will spend the next few years banging rocks together in the wilderness, throwing moderates like <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/11/us/politics/11cheney.html" target="_blank">Colin Powell</a> out of the party, and trying to wind the clock back to the early 1980s while the rest of the country moves on. He probably assumes that he&#8217;s already established himself as &#8220;a different kind of conservative,&#8221; that the domestic policy fights he&#8217;ll face as governor will be frustrating and possibly fruitless, and that the GOP will need a few more electoral thrashings before it is ready to buy what he&#8217;s selling. What&#8217;s more, he probably assumes that, while the rest of the GOP tears itself apart in naval-gazing fights about the meaning of &#8220;true conservatism,&#8221; he can go off and pad his resume with several years of experience managing America&#8217;s largest (and increasingly, its most important) bilateral relationship, and that when he returns in, say, 2014, not only will the GOP primary voters not punish him, they&#8217;ll welcome him as a practical, reform-minded leader, attuned to the problems of the 21st century, who puts the national interest above partisan politics &#8212; that is, just the kind of guy to lead them to victory in 2016.</p></blockquote>
<p>From a general standpoint, I think there might be some meat here. If the GOP base nominates a candidate in 2012 that gets shellacked by Obama, there&#8217;s going to be an opening for a more &#8220;apostate&#8221;candidate to change directions in 2016. This will probably have to be someone we haven&#8217;t heard of to this point, because there&#8217;s really no one in the current GOP who can fit this bill. But let&#8217;s be clear about something; it&#8217;s most certainly not going to be Jon Huntsman.</p>
<p>At the end of the day, political parties just aren&#8217;t that accepting of people who worked for administrations of the opposition party. It&#8217;s one thing if you were a member of the other party at the time, and have since changed your ideas, but to work for the other party and then try to come back and seek a leadership role, to say nothing of the Presidential nomination, of your party is just simply not going to happen. I think Huntsman knows this and, moreover, I think he realized that he was never going to get anywhere in the current national GOP. I think his decision to accept the ambassadorship reflects, more than anything else, that that was a job he really wanted to have, and realizing that his ceiling was rather low, he jumped on the opportunity.</p>
<p>Not every move is pure Machiavelli.</p>

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